Charles Franklin, the Wisconsin political scientist who blogs at Political Arithmetik, has put together an excellent graphic showing the long-term trend in Hillary's favorable/unfavorable ratings:
Franklin comes to the same conclusion I reached a year ago -- despite all the hype about how she's become less polarizing, Hillary's favorability ratings haven't really changed since 2000. So why would her supporters expect a presidential run to be successful?
Maybe other people are catching on to this fact -- the Tradesports futures market on a Hillary nomination has been trending down (to about 40 percent):
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