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Power Line's John Hinderaker has a post with the title "President Bush's support holding steady" that cites a Rasmussen poll showing Bush's approval at 42 percent. But if you look at the polls as a whole, as Charles Franklin does, it's obvious that Bush's support isn't holding steady. In fact, his approval numbers have dropped substantially -- Rasmussen is an outlier:
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I am an assistant professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. I received my Ph.D. from the Department of Political Science at Duke University in 2009 and served as a RWJ Scholar in Health Policy Research at the University of Michigan from 2009-2011. I also tweet at @BrendanNyhan and serve as a media critic for Columbia Journalism Review. Previously, I co-edited Spinsanity, a non-partisan watchdog of political spin, and co-authored All the President's Spin. For more, see my bio or academic website.
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Brendan,
Even Rasmussen says that they use a methodology which gets results "about 3-4 points higher" than other polls and trends are the real issue.
Posted by: nitpicker | January 30, 2007 at 01:04 AM
What happened in late 06 that helped him so much?
Posted by: glenstein | January 30, 2007 at 03:39 AM
Glenstein,
It's only a change of about six points, so I'd guess (off the top of my head) it was some moderate Republicans begrudgingly swinging toward their leader just before the election.
Posted by: nitpicker | January 30, 2007 at 08:36 AM