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April 16, 2007

Ezra Klein gives Fox News a bum rap

Ezra Klein is too smart to be writing posts like this:

The new Pew Poll on public knowledge of current affairs includes the sadly routine finding that Fox News is doing a remarkable amount of nothing for its viewing audience. Subjected to 35 questions about the news, regular viewers of Fox scored directly in the national average, showing no sign of enhanced knowledge for all the time spent before Brit Hume. Blogs, too, appeared to do little good for their audience, lifting scores by only 2%. The Daily Show and Colbert Report either attract or educated the most informed viewers, along with newspaper websites, PBS, NPR, Limbaugh, and O'Reilly. Maybe none of this should be surprising, though. In the end, Fox News doesn't exist to inform -- it exists to convince. And in that, it's doing just fine.

Actually, we can't infer anything about whether Fox informs its viewers from these data. We have no way of knowing what level of knowledge Fox viewers would have had if they hadn't watched Fox (all else equal).

To illustrate the point, imagine trying to measure the effect of Sesame Street on children's reading or vocabulary. You can't just compare the reading levels of kids who watched Sesame Street and those that don't. The reason is that the socioeconomic status of the children (or their parents' education level, etc.) is likely to be correlated with viewing of Sesame Street. The same principle applies here.

Klein implicitly acknowledges the possibility that audiences select the media they consume later in the post, writing that "The Daily Show and Colbert Report either attract or educated the most informed viewers" (my italics). I'll bet on "attract." While I'm no fan of Fox News, this is an ill-informed criticism at best.

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Comments

Brendan, it appears you didn't get the memo.

Fox News is now the designated tarbaby for Democrats. Rational analysis is not only superfluous, it's counterproductive. There's only so much hate that can be focussed on Karl Rove. All that passion needs an outlet, and Fox News will do just fine till something better (like a Republican nominee) comes along.

So please, try to get with the program. If you have any interest in teaching in a major American university, you're going to have to march in step.

I had thought Klein's interpretation of the survey suspect and misguided. As much as I disdain Fox News Channel, or any of the cable news networks, I hardly think they are especially stupefying. Quite a few other qualities of those surveyed that seem likelier to have determined such results. I suspect that some survey, though I know not how it might be implemented, of how logically and carefully the viewers thought about politics would be far less flattering to viewers of "The Daily Show" and "The Colbert Report".

As for you, Rob, I must wonder if it's really fitting to impugn the fallacious with the infantile as you have.

Good point Brendan. I think it's tempting to view the stratification by preferred news source as evidence of a causal relationship -- viewers of TDS/Colbert are better informed as a result of watching those shows -- but it the strictest sense, these are correlations.

The news sources, in statistical terms, might be considered confounders that obscure the real cause-and-effect here. The authors note the profound influence of educational level on awareness of current events, and I tend to think of this as the real causal force here.

To be fair, though, the point of the poll isn't that TDS (or Limbaugh) makes you smarter. These details seem to have been thrown in for fun, really; they could have summarized these categories more traditionally as cable news, newspapers, internet, etc. The chief conclusion is that the media revolutions over the past 18 years (specifically the introduction of 24-hour cable TV news and the internet) have had little impact upon our overall awareness of current events.

However, when you drill down a little, you see in their results a predictable conclusion: that those news sources geared towards news junkies (cable news, TDS, NPR) attract those who want to keep well-informed and frequently updated!

All stats aside though, it's downright frightening that only 69% of Americans can name the current Vice President. :O

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