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August 14, 2007

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The profs you cite oversimplify things by half. Of course, realignments occur gradually, rather than suddenly happening in random Presidential years. I don't think any reputable political scientist has ever suggested otherwise. The fact that the 1896 election closely mirrored the results of 1894 (in which the GOP won a massive victory in the midterms) or 1898 doesn't minimize the fact the electoral battlefield was different in the first decade of the 20th Century than it was in the last decade of the 19th.

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