I've been worried about Barack Obama's relatively low support among whites but these numbers from South Carolina are worse than I expected:
But while Mr. Obama seeks to transcend race, his campaign cannot avoid the politics associated with it. A new poll on Friday, conducted by MSNBC/McClatchy Newspapers, showed that Mr. Obama was winning support from 59 percent of black voters in South Carolina but only 10 percent of white voters. The majority of the white voters are splitting their support between Mrs. Clinton and John Edwards, the native son.
The national numbers are also showing heavy racial polarization:
In the poll last month, Mrs. Clinton held a 40 percent to 23 percent lead over Mr. Obama among whites, as well as support from a majority of African-Americans. Mrs. Clinton’s lead among whites has widened, 53 percent to 24 percent, and Mr. Obama has a 63 percent to 23 percent lead over Mrs. Clinton among African-Americans.
It was probably inevitable that Obama would end up with more support among blacks than whites, but it's sad that the priming of racial issues (often by Clinton surrogates) seems to have actually hurt him among whites over the last month.
The South Carolina primary way have actually been bad for Obama in this respect. Better for him for it to have been on Super Tuesday so the press wouldn't be talking about racial issues 24/7 for a week.
I also think that Obama would be doing better with white voters if he weren't running against a quasi-incumbent. For example the polls show him losing big in MA which we can be pretty sure is not mostly racial voting since 55% of MA voters voted for a black guy for Gov. in 2006 in the three way race! That followed a come from behind win for Patrick in a contested Democratic primary against two white candidates.
Posted by: ikl | January 26, 2008 at 01:52 PM