BrendanNyhan Hard to say Obama has slipped w/base by comparing approval to vote share @markos @openleft http://j.mp/cSIFO3 Diff. concepts and populations- BrendanNyhan .@markos claims no 10-point boost from #hcr due to intense coverage http://j.mp/buoqUy Reality: Legislation rarely moves numbers that much
- BrendanNyhan Averaging support across campaigns is nonsense. RT @daveweigel Karl Rove's Senate poll "average" is, uh, kinda useless. http://bit.ly/bReOQCWeigel : Karl Rove's Math for Schmucks Politico publishes a survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for American Crossroads; i.e., for Karl Rove., which makes an audacious argument: the Republicans can win the Senate. "Voters in the 13 Battleground Senate seats," writes pollster Glen
- BrendanNyhan Strange but amusing to hear Wyclef struggling to talk like a politician http://j.mp/cdoGXZ As he's finding out, it's harder than it looksWyclef Jean Makes Case For His Candidacy In Haiti : NPR Michele Norris talks to hip-hop artist Wyclef Jean, who just last week announced he is running for the presidency of Haiti. Norris presses Jean on the accusations of financial misdeeds surrounding his charitable foundation. Jean has been criticized by some in Haiti as a carpetbagger candidate.
- BrendanNyhan Newsweek's Hirsh notes Obama's lack of economic stimulus options http://j.mp/aZHTAx but forgets about Fed appts. -- see http://j.mp/c7mjO6
Has Obama Run Out of Economic Options? - Newsweek As the grim jobs news continues, and with no hope for more government stimulus, the president finds himself without a solution.The Federal Reserve and the 2012 elections - Brendan Nyhan It's shocking to me how little attention is being given to the Federal Reserve by the Obama administration and its supporters. Consider the following list of statements: 1. The economic downturn has been severe. The history of financial crises suggests... - BrendanNyhan Gallup adopts arbitrary 50% approval cutoff for pres. midterm success http://j.mp/brZ2ca But in reality declines linearly http://j.mp/aZyxuiAvg. Midterm Seat Loss 36 for Presidents Below 50% Approval Since 1946, presidents with job approval ratings below 50% at the time of midterm elections have seen their parties lose an average of 36 U.S. House seats, compared with an average loss of 14 seats for presidents with approval ratings above 50%.No evidence for Mellman's "magic" 50% approval - Brendan Nyhan Last week, I criticized Matt Bai's claim that it was an "ominous sign" for Democrats that President Obama's approval rating is under 50%. Writing in The Hill, top Democratic pollster Mark Mellman goes even further, calling 50% approval a "magic...
« Gibbs vs. Green Lantern-ites on Obama presidency | Main | Twitter roundup »
August 11, 2010
Comments
The comments to this entry are closed.
About Me
I am the James O. Freedman Presidential Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. I received my Ph.D. from the Department of Political Science at Duke University and have served as a RWJ Scholar in Health Policy Research and a faculty member in the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan. I am a co-director of Bright Line Watch. Previously, I contributed to The Upshot at The New York Times, served as a media critic for Columbia Journalism Review, co-edited Spinsanity, a non-partisan watchdog of political spin, and co-authored All the President's Spin. For more, see my Dartmouth website.
Content feeds:
-Blog RSS
-Threads feed
Email:
[email protected]
Recent Posts
- New podcast on US 2020 Facebook study
- New podcast interview on Sean Carroll's Mindscape
- New study, report, and podcast
- UCLA Law panel on threats to democracy
- New podcast - on Mike Pesca's The Gist
- New Bright Line Watch report/interview
- Big Technology podcast interview
- New SciAm: Open the social media black box
- Panel with the Surgeon General on COVID-19 misinfo
- FiveThirtyEight podcast interview
I liked the Gibbs comment.
Posted by: JP | August 12, 2010 at 01:15 AM