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April 06, 2011


Maybe I'm reading too much into the numbers Penn gave, but why would have only mentioned "two Democrats in the last 90 years?" After all, 100 years ago, Woodrow Wilson (a Democrat) was elected, and then reelected in 1916.

Maybe Penn was trying to hyper inflate the challenges faced by a Democratic incumbent in order to bolster his argument. 2 Dems/90 years = 1 victory every 45 years.

On the other hand, 3 Dems/100 years = 1 every 33 years. (Although, technically Wilson was re-elected in 1916, so it's 3/95 = 31 2/3 years).

I understand not wanting to go too far back and then include the Cleveland administration, and on and on. But at some point, it becomes obvious you're trying to cherry pick your numbers to win your readers over.

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