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 | Possible first Obama scandal - "Lawmakers press feds for documents on cartel gun sales" http://j.mp/m5A3A2 Hearing Wed.: http://j.mp/lWbFTX |
Lawmakers press feds for documents on cartel gun sales | Chronicle | Chron.com - Houston Chronicle WASHINGTON - House and Senate lawmakers are threatening to block presidential nominees and subpoena Justice Department officials this week to force the release of documents on a controversial gu... |
6-15-11 'Operation Fast and Furious: Reckless Decisions, Tragic Outcomes' The Honorable Charles E. |
Jun 14, 2011 at 2:24 PM |
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 | Adam Bonica and @kwcollins estimate the conservatism of the 2012 GOP presidential contenders using their donors http://j.mp/jjjhKQ |
Measuring up the Republican Field « Ideological Cartography What will the field of candidates for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination look like? Presidential primaries tend to highlight divisions within parties, and the press has focused on moder... |
Jun 14, 2011 at 2:13 PM |
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 | Context for TPaw hysteria -- David Shuster, MSNBC, 10/29/07: "in debate after debate, Obama has refused to challenge Clinton..." It's early! |
Jun 14, 2011 at 2:08 PM |
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 | . @davidfrum writes off TPaw based on debate http://bit.ly/m3xg2p but as @jbplainblog notes, Obama had bad early debates http://bit.ly/mkHe6O |
Pawlenty Is Debate’s Biggest Loser | FrumForum Tim Pawlenty was debate night's big loser. He walked onto that stage with one mission: to prove himself the ultra-base alternative to Romney. He failed, miserably. Pawlenty's failure is not the ... |
A plain blog about politics: Notes on the GOP Debate No big headline, just some various notes on the big GOP debate last night... 1. Yeah, I'm still very much a Michele Bachmann skeptic. Yes, she got good reviews last night. Also, Herman Cain got ... |
Jun 14, 2011 at 12:45 PM |
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 | RT @MysteryPollster: Looking at all the charts on the rise & fall in Obama's ratings since bin Laden http://t.co/pMZI5p7 |
Obama's Bin Laden Polling Bump Fades WASHINGTON -- A batch of new national polls released this week share a similar theme: All show a fade of the modest "bounce" in President Barack Obama's approval ratings that occurred just after... |
Jun 10, 2011 at 5:37 PM |
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 | What's more embarrassing - Gary Johnson debating an Obama impersonator, or John Stossel hosting it? Hilarious and bizarre http://j.mp/jpo57A |
http://j.mp/jpo57A |
Jun 10, 2011 at 5:34 PM |
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 | PS Though the Stossel/Johnson debate was a farce, the Obama impersonator is great - SNL or Daily Show should hire him http://t.co/si6kGy2 |
Another Episode Of Stossel , Another Ridiculous Stunt | Media Matters for America June 10, 2011 1:14 am ET by Todd Gregory Thursday night on Fox Business, John Stossel used about seven minutes of his show to host a "debate" between former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson and an a... |
Jun 11, 2011 at 12:37 AM |
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 | How politicians exploit the public's lack of understanding of causality - an example from @therriaultphd http://j.mp/j6Equ5 |
Quick Observation on Campaign Websites : Andrew Therriault I've been at the Library of Congress for two days now, capturing a selection of archived campaign websites that are only available on-site (because of legal reasons) for a dataset I'm putting to... |
Jun 10, 2011 at 12:44 PM |
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 | RT @cdsamii: Nice post w/ admirably careful discussion. RT @jay_ulfelder: Forecasting Popular Uprisings in 2011: How Are We Doing? http://wp.me/p1domH-2x |
Forecasting Popular Uprisings in 2011: How Are We Doing? « Dart-Throwing Chimp Earlier this year, I participated in a workshop at the Council on Foreign Relations on predicting political instability. Not surprisingly, the decision to hold the workshop was partially inspire... |
Jun 9, 2011 at 8:31 PM |
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 | Memo to NYT RT @smotus: Unemployment does not predict presidential elections. Income growth does. http://t.co/lqdxC3u |
Enik Rising: Unemployment and presidential elections Binyamin Appelbaum , in today's New York Times : No American president since Franklin Delano Roosevelt has won a second term in office when the unemployment rate on Election Day topped 7.2 perce... |
Jun 2, 2011 at 6:07 PM |
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 | Time ed: "unemployment, rather than GDP growth, seems to be what elects and defeats Presidents" http://j.mp/lDKSUN No: http://j.mp/kIRynY |
POLITICO Playbook FIRST LOOK -- IT'S DUSK IN AMERICA: On morning of his first debate, Mitt Romney launches new web video, "Bump in the Road," portraying the U.S. |
Enik Rising: Unemployment and presidential elections Binyamin Appelbaum , in today's New York Times : No American president since Franklin Delano Roosevelt has won a second term in office when the unemployment rate on Election Day topped 7.2 perce... |
Jun 9, 2011 at 1:50 PM |
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 | More on unemployment/pres. elections MT @carlislerainey We see a strong pattern when we'd expect - incumbent running. http://bit.ly/jcrFtU |
 http://myweb.fsu.edu/rcr08/Fil es/unemployment.png |
Jun 9, 2011 at 4:54 PM |
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 | More on unemployment effect on pres. elections from @carlislerainey http://t.co/nFzzZPa Not sig. correlated, but lots of uncertainty |
Unemployment, Presidential Elections, and Small Data Sets: 38 Plots for 16 Data Points « Bootstrapping Life A recent debate has emerged on Twitter, in the blogs, and in the New York Times. On June 1, 2011, the New York Times published an article that paints a grim picture of President Obama's reelecti... |
Jun 14, 2011 at 12:38 PM |
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 | Important @smotus response to @fivethirtyeight on econ. forecasting of pres. elections - Depression/WWII really are diff. http://j.mp/lIjRI4 |
Enik Rising: Defending economic forecast models I wanted to elaborate a bit on my reaction to Nate Silver's recent post on the limits of economic forecasts of elections. Silver's post is a good one. He explains one of the better forecas... |
Jun 8, 2011 at 12:08 PM |
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 | Needed: Epistemological modesty from fact-checkers on whether GOP wants to "end Medicare" http://j.mp/lrIbXW See also http://j.mp/l2aHl9 |
A Medicare By Any Other Name | The New Republic Paul Krugman wades into the debate over whether Republicans did indeed vote to end Medicare: I mostly, but not entirely, agree. There's a continuum here among potential changes to the program. A... |
Medicare and the Philosophy of Language Paul Krugman on whether or not House Republicans voted to end Medicare: I’ll just quote the blogger Duncan Black, who summarizes this as saying that “when we replace the Marines with a pizza, we... |
Jun 7, 2011 at 2:17 PM |
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 | I hate analyses of the Obama "brand" like this: http://j.mp/lFMH6f His problem isn't his brand, it's a weak economy + 3 wars. |
Obama seeks reshaped image for 2012 run - USATODAY.com WASHINGTON -The Obama Brand in 2008 was pretty simple: Hope and change. The jobless rate on Friday ticked above 9% again. The housing market nationwide continues to fall. Gas prices are strainin... |
Jun 7, 2011 at 1:47 PM |
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 | RT @kwcollins: Adam Bonica on "The Changing Politics of Health Care Professionals" as seen in campaign contr. patterns: http://bit.ly/jvs6aW |
The Changing Politics of Health Care Professionals « Ideological Cartography The New York Times published a fascinating article last week about the changing politics of physicians. The article reports that as more physicians abandon practices for salaried positions their... |
Jun 7, 2011 at 12:02 AM |
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 | Republican insiders predicting Romney and Pawlenty for GOP nom - major gap with rest of field http://j.mp/jnCbrb |
Anzalone Research's Twitter Latest National Journal Insider's poll on who will capture the Republican nomination for President: http://bit.ly/mvdKQp |
Jun 6, 2011 at 2:01 PM |
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 | Useful myth-busting about Canadian health care system by @aaronecarroll of @incidentalecon http://j.mp/mGOer9 |
In defense of Canada | The Incidental Economist Paul Krugman has been on a tear the last few days with a number of posts defending Canada's Medicare. This was all leading up to his latest column, where he questioned why Medicare should be uns... |
Jun 6, 2011 at 1:36 PM |
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 | RT @jmartpolitico: Great chart on most polarizing govs in Amer: http://bit.ly/l11S97 |
Loved by Republicans, loathed by Democrats, Scott Walker remains in a political class by himself - JSOnline In a Wisconsin poll taken two weeks ago, Gov. Walker's approval rating among Republican voters was 87%. His approval rating among Democratic voters was 9%. Those aren't normal numbers, even in p... |
Jun 6, 2011 at 12:01 AM |
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 | But she has to play in invisible primary RT @MysteryPollster Palin's negatives, alone, not a barrier to GOP nomination http://huff.to/jP9FxI |
Sarah Palin's Poll Numbers Down, But Path To GOP Nomination Not Out WASHINGTON -- As Sarah Palin's unusual "One Nation" bus tour winds its way through the Northeast, Republican insiders seem convinced that the former Alaska Governor will not run for president. B... |
Jun 2, 2011 at 12:44 PM |
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 | . @forecasterenten on "Troubling Economic Signs for Obama's Re-Election" - ominous downward revisions in income growth http://j.mp/jaXQaB |
Margin of Error: Troubling Economic Signs for Obama's Re-Election President Obama is currently flying high. Off the killing of Osama Bin Laden, Obama's approvals have risen into the low to mid 50's, and he leads all the major Republican challengers in the 2012... |
Jun 2, 2011 at 11:34 AM |
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 | RT @ryanchittum: Zombie Lie Laboratory Creates 62 Percent Tax Rate Plan: The WSJ editorial page at work. http://bit.ly/iUEYBp |
Zombie Lie Laboratory Creates 62 Percent Tax Rate Plan : CJR The Wall Street Journal editorial page at work Stephen Moore of The Wall Street Journal editorial board hacks out an instant classic on how to mislead people with numbers. The question-as-headli... |
Jun 1, 2011 at 1:01 PM |
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 | . @jbplainblog on "Top-Down, Bottom-Up & Party Networks" http://j.mp/m73ntW Related: my paper on consultant networks http://j.mp/adIlWc (PDF) |
A plain blog about politics: Top-Down, Bottom-Up, and Party Networks For those who read my response to Nate Silver's comments on Herman Cain , I definitely recommend reading Silver's follow-up , with a response to me and others. Silver makes several excellent poi... |
http://j.mp/adIlWc |
Jun 1, 2011 at 11:54 AM |
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 | Is anyone going to track the effect of the California prison overcrowding decision? A proposal for replication http://j.mp/l6tau1 |
Misc Links « Code and Culture Entry filed under: Uncategorized. Tags: causality, diffusion, economics, R. |
Jun 1, 2011 at 11:51 AM |
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 | . @davidfrum: "Hospitals: The New Teachers’ Unions?" HC shifting from inputs to outputs like in educ; changes the politics http://j.mp/lK8fDI |
Hospitals: The New Teachers’ Unions? | FrumForum Are hospitals the new public-school teachers' unions? From the New York Times today: More generally, [hospitals] are apprehensive about Medicare's plans to reward and penalize hospitals based on... |
May 31, 2011 at 1:48 PM |
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