In case you missed it, here's my prebuttal to media coverage of the State of the Union, which includes a new introduction to last year's edition.
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I am the James O. Freedman Presidential Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. I received my Ph.D. from the Department of Political Science at Duke University and have served as a RWJ Scholar in Health Policy Research and a faculty member in the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan. I also tweet at @BrendanNyhan, contribute to The Upshot at The New York Times, and am a co-organizer of Bright Line Watch. Previously, I served as a media critic for Columbia Journalism Review, co-edited Spinsanity, a non-partisan watchdog of political spin, and co-authored All the President's Spin. For more, see my Dartmouth website.
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If Americans perceive Obama as too partisan, he’ll lose a serious share of his personal popularity.” In reality, however, Obama isn’t likely to significantly increase his approvalor significantly reduce it. And even if he did make a major blunder, we wouldn’t know it from the ill-conceived instant polls of speech watchers that tend to shape reporting and punditry in the aftermath of the State of the Union.
Posted by: Robert | February 22, 2013 at 02:38 AM
Good call on the instant polling, it selects supporters of the president. However, rather than wait for post-SOTU polling to determine if the president’s approval numbers have changed, many social media outlets use scientifically dubious instant polls of people who watched the speech.
Posted by: Richard | February 22, 2013 at 08:21 AM