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August 05, 2008

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There's a big yeah but to this. Democrats are poised for landslides in congressional elections due to the field of open seats and contested elections, underlying economic factors, and heavy base turnout driven by dynamic Presidential candidate.

Another thing: Democrats are likely at this point to gain a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. They should have at least 55 seats plus a block of Lieberman, Collins, Snowe, Specter (up in 2010) and Smith from which to pick up cloture. If Dems can pick up one or two more seats in MN or MS, they will benefit from a strong governing majority. This will have more implications than perception of a mandate.

Strange, I thought that I had gotten the idea from here that while the popular vote total is close, political science models incorporating the economy and the outgoing approval rating meant that Obama was almost assured victory. But all I can find on your blog now is this.

I also think this is going tobe a very close election. McCain is promoting populist (but stupid) policies and gaining political credit.

Ekonomix
http://turkeconomy.blogspot.com

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